Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1.258184e-03 1.410259e-03 0.001563 0.001727 0.001898 0.002070 0.002257
2025-08-03 1.035916e-03 1.267995e-03 0.001509 0.001775 0.002060 0.002353 0.002676
2025-08-10 7.793153e-04 1.061756e-03 0.001366 0.001713 0.002093 0.002493 0.002941
2025-08-17 5.962575e-04 9.144745e-04 0.001272 0.001691 0.002159 0.002660 0.003229
2025-08-24 4.247182e-04 7.584974e-04 0.001152 0.001628 0.002172 0.002762 0.003441
2025-08-31 3.140662e-04 6.598792e-04 0.001088 0.001619 0.002238 0.002918 0.003708
2025-09-07 2.426139e-04 6.002574e-04 0.001063 0.001651 0.002346 0.003117 0.004019
2025-09-14 1.637934e-04 5.154110e-04 0.000998 0.001630 0.002387 0.003237 0.004239
2025-09-21 1.160007e-04 4.660719e-04 0.000973 0.001652 0.002477 0.003409 0.004514
2025-09-28 8.616120e-05 4.388800e-04 0.000975 0.001704 0.002599 0.003617 0.004827
2025-10-05 4.886818e-05 3.845042e-04 0.000933 0.001699 0.002651 0.003741 0.005044
2025-10-12 2.508344e-05 3.449453e-04 0.000909 0.001713 0.002723 0.003887 0.005284
2025-10-19 1.067726e-05 3.230853e-04 0.000918 0.001782 0.002878 0.004147 0.005676
2025-10-26 2.119500e-08 2.767875e-04 0.000887 0.001800 0.002972 0.004341 0.005996
2025-11-02 NaN 1.942645e-04 0.000786 0.001719 0.002944 0.004390 0.006153
2025-11-09 NaN 1.409035e-04 0.000723 0.001686 0.002972 0.004504 0.006382
2025-11-16 NaN 8.550091e-05 0.000639 0.001616 0.002951 0.004558 0.006541
2025-11-23 NaN 5.586104e-05 0.000597 0.001604 0.003000 0.004695 0.006794
2025-11-30 NaN 4.079221e-05 0.000584 0.001633 0.003103 0.004894 0.007120
2025-12-07 NaN 1.963269e-05 0.000539 0.001610 0.003135 0.005007 0.007344
2025-12-14 NaN 1.033670e-05 0.000524 0.001632 0.003225 0.005189 0.007647
2025-12-21 NaN 6.443294e-06 0.000528 0.001683 0.003353 0.005418 0.008004
2025-12-28 NaN 5.119790e-07 0.000499 0.001678 0.003405 0.005551 0.008248